{
  "survivor_set": [
    "HFO-1336mzz-Z + 2,2,2-trifluoroethylamine 90:10",
    "HFO-1336mzz-Z + vinylene carbonate 70:30 (discovery)",
    "5% MeOH + 95% TriEG + 0.1 wt% h-BN (Flagship A)",
    "Pentane + DMC 80:20 (FoM4 lead)"
  ],
  "calibration": {
    "anchors": [
      {
        "name": "HFO-1336mzz-Z",
        "sigma_thermo": 15.5,
        "sigma_lit": 15.5,
        "sigma_AAD_pct": 0.2,
        "Tb_thermo": 33.5,
        "Tb_lit": 33.4,
        "Tb_abs_err_C": 0.1
      },
      {
        "name": "FK-5-1-12",
        "sigma_thermo": 10.7,
        "sigma_lit": 10.8,
        "sigma_AAD_pct": 1.4,
        "Tb_thermo": 49.1,
        "Tb_lit": 49.0,
        "Tb_abs_err_C": 0.1
      },
      {
        "name": "methanol",
        "sigma_thermo": 22.1,
        "sigma_lit": 22.1,
        "sigma_AAD_pct": 0.2,
        "Tb_thermo": 64.5,
        "Tb_lit": 64.7,
        "Tb_abs_err_C": 0.2
      },
      {
        "name": "pentane",
        "sigma_thermo": 15.5,
        "sigma_lit": 15.5,
        "sigma_AAD_pct": 0.3,
        "Tb_thermo": 36.1,
        "Tb_lit": 36.1,
        "Tb_abs_err_C": 0.0
      }
    ],
    "sigma_mean_AAD_pct": 0.5,
    "Tb_mean_abs_err_C": 0.1,
    "coverage": "4 survivor fuels anchored to literature sigma/Tb",
    "note": "Calibration of thermo-library predictions, not of MD. Surface-tension AAD sets the Monte-Carlo sigma uncertainty floor."
  },
  "probabilistic_ranking": [
    {
      "name": "5% MeOH + 95% TriEG + 0.1 wt% h-BN (Flagship A)",
      "track": "PFAS-free non-flammable",
      "system_chf_median_W_cm2": 357.6,
      "system_chf_90CI": [
        203.7,
        556.1
      ],
      "P_clears_50_W_cm2": 1.0,
      "P_top1": 0.786,
      "P_top2": 0.957,
      "median_rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "HFO-1336mzz-Z + vinylene carbonate 70:30 (discovery)",
      "track": "HFO (non-flammable, low-GWP)",
      "system_chf_median_W_cm2": 228.8,
      "system_chf_90CI": [
        123.5,
        376.4
      ],
      "P_clears_50_W_cm2": 1.0,
      "P_top1": 0.165,
      "P_top2": 0.661,
      "median_rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Pentane + DMC 80:20 (FoM4 lead)",
      "track": "PFAS-free dielectric (flammable->sealed)",
      "system_chf_median_W_cm2": 184.6,
      "system_chf_90CI": [
        103.5,
        292.1
      ],
      "P_clears_50_W_cm2": 1.0,
      "P_top1": 0.047,
      "P_top2": 0.333,
      "median_rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "HFO-1336mzz-Z + 2,2,2-trifluoroethylamine 90:10",
      "track": "HFO (non-flammable, low-GWP)",
      "system_chf_median_W_cm2": 128.5,
      "system_chf_90CI": [
        73.0,
        197.4
      ],
      "P_clears_50_W_cm2": 1.0,
      "P_top1": 0.001,
      "P_top2": 0.048,
      "median_rank": 4
    }
  ],
  "proof_status": {
    "existing_md_trajectories": 82,
    "md_coverage": "82 committed trajectories cover the OLD pentane/alcohol pairs; the NEW HFO-1336mzz / FK-5-1-12 leads have NO MD yet.",
    "gates": {
      "miscibility_LLE": "UNVERIFIED -> shake-flask (cheapest next gate) for HFO+pump, FK+pump",
      "sigma_MD": "REQUIRES_MD_RUN for HFO/FK fuels (literature sigma only so far)",
      "cubic_box_epsilon": "REQUIRES_MD_RUN (estimated epsilon used)",
      "dielectric_loss_breakdown": "UNVERIFIED -> measured after water saturation",
      "bare_fluid_boiling_CHF": "ESTIMATED (Zuber); REQUIRES bare-copper pool boiling",
      "stacked_CHF": "LITERATURE-ADDITIVE ONLY -> Phase-5 pool boiling rig"
    },
    "note": "The system-level ranking is a computational prioritization. The new HFO/FK leads need their own MD + the same wetlab gate order as any candidate."
  },
  "params": {
    "N_MC": 20000,
    "seed": 12345,
    "u_sigma": 0.15,
    "u_hfg": 0.1,
    "u_dsigma": 0.3,
    "stack_threshold_W_cm2": 50.0
  },
  "honesty": "Monte-Carlo over computational/literature estimates, not measured CHF. Stack uplift unproven until Phase-5. P(top-k) reflects estimate uncertainty, not experimental confidence."
}